Will Gurkenglas's attempt to start a bank run be successful?
5
16
Ṁ457Ṁ100
resolved Mar 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
@Gurkenglas tried to start a bank run on https://manifold.markets/Honourary/the-replacement-administrator-for-a
Resolves YES if both of the following are true
- The linked market's NO pool drops below $25 at some point within 12 hours of this market closing.
- Gurkenglas and I agree that it was a "real" bank run (and not e.g. just someone trying to make this market resolve YES).
If we disagree about whether it was a "real" bank run, we'll discuss it until we agree. There's no way this can fail, right?... :D
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ33 | |
| 2 | Ṁ5 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Federal Reserve engineer a soft landing?
16% chance
Will there be a bank run on Manifold before 2028?
50% chance
Will there be at least 20 US bank failures in 2023-2024?
25% chance
Will there be a bank run on manifold?
Will a second regional US bank fail in 2024?
70% chance
Will there be 20 bank failures?
5% chance
Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?
21% chance
Will a part of crypto community force a bank run to make crypto standard like degenerate WSB on GameStop type behavior?
39% chance
300M subsidy: Will there be a bank run on manifold (within 12 months of cash payouts starting)?
19% chance
Will Credit Suisse fail?
90% chance