Will I (@Bayesian) be a superforecaster before 2027?

Will interpretability be commonplace in physics papers relying on machine learning by the end of 2025?

Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?

Will there be a peer-reviewed, widely accepted scientific explanation of how consciousness emerges by 31/Dec/2033?

Will the scientific community accept aspects of quantum consciousness by 2030? 🧠🔬⚛️🌀

Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?

Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030?

Will causal inference be “very important in AI” by 2035?

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?