Will causal inference be “very important in AI” by 2035?
6
53
Ṁ132Ṁ220
2035
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to Manifold poll, which will be open for one month after closing date. If the poll is tied this will resolve 50%, otherwise it will resolve to the majority.
The title of the poll will be “Is causal inference very important in AI right now?”
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Related questions
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
61% chance
Will AI companies be crucially important to American Progress in the next 2 decades?
90% chance
Will Inflection AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
19% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?
39% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2025?
17% chance
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
44% chance
Will there be a critical vulnerability discovered by AI by the end of 2025?
77% chance
Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?
73% chance
Will AI be able to read minds by 2030?
61% chance
Will AI take over density functional theory by 2035?
50% chance