Will either the UK or the EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 June 2022
5
20
101
resolved Jul 18
Resolved
NO
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Resolves NO. As of September 2022, Article 16 had not been triggered (and, from some cursory research, I don't believe it has been triggered since then either - certainly not before June 1, 2022.)

...or, well, I tried to resolve it to NO. I got "APIError: User is not creator of contract" despite being Trustworthy-ish. Tagging @DavidChee to resolve this instead.

(Unambiguous resolution criteria have been met, it has been more than 7 days, and I cannot find evidence of the market creator being active on the site at any point since May of last year.)

💡 I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here.

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag @DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

@evergreenemily Update: I was able to resolve NO now. I think I was unable to earlier because of the bugs/glitches associated with the Friday update.

Do we know the correct resolution for this market?

predicted NO
@Giovanni, could you resolve this?