Will the UK rejoin the EU before 2032? | Manifold Markets

Will the UK rejoin the EU before 2032?

19

closes 2032

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

They must actually join, not just have a plan to join in the future.

Sort by:

benjsmithis predicting NO at 18%

What will the contract resolves if, before 2032, the UK makes a formal agreement to enter the EU some time after 2032?

@B Nope, not good enough.

Related markets

Will the UK apply to rejoin the EU before 2030?8%

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?30%

Will the United Kingdom become a candidate to rejoin the European Union in 2023?3%

Will the UK be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?24%

Will UK rejoin the EU by the end of 20253%

Will any country leave the EU before 2028?18%

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2030?25%

Will there be a UK General Election held using an alternative voting system before 2030?12%

Will any nation leave the EU by 202520%

Will there be a parliamentary election in the UK before 2024?8%

Will a general election take place in the UK in 2023?5%

Will Scotland still be a part of the UK by 2030?76%

Will any country leave the Commonwealth before 2030?77%

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?15%

Will Wales leave the UK by 2030?4%

Will France be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?89%

Will London leave the UK by 2040?3%

Will the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?28%

Will Labour win a UK general election and hold an EU membership referendum in 2023?3%

If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join the EU within 2 years?21%

Related markets

Will the UK apply to rejoin the EU before 2030?8%

Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?30%

Will the United Kingdom become a candidate to rejoin the European Union in 2023?3%

Will the UK be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?24%

Will UK rejoin the EU by the end of 20253%

Will any country leave the EU before 2028?18%

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2030?25%

Will there be a UK General Election held using an alternative voting system before 2030?12%

Will any nation leave the EU by 202520%

Will there be a parliamentary election in the UK before 2024?8%

Will a general election take place in the UK in 2023?5%

Will Scotland still be a part of the UK by 2030?76%

Will any country leave the Commonwealth before 2030?77%

Will Northern Ireland leave the UK by 2030?15%

Will Wales leave the UK by 2030?4%

Will France be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?89%

Will London leave the UK by 2040?3%

Will the UK have Proportional Representation of the House of Commons by 2030?28%

Will Labour win a UK general election and hold an EU membership referendum in 2023?3%

If Scotland leaves the UK, will they join the EU within 2 years?21%