Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2027?
8
Ṁ110Ṁ117Dec 31
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Please note:
In this description I explicitly acknowledge that the format of the question denies Gibraltarians' self-sovereignty, in a way that such an agreement might (although it might not, and consideration of this should be factored into betting).
If Gibraltar was a party to any agreement over its sovereignty that also included the UK and Spain this would not affect a YES resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2030?
33% chance
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2035?
50% chance
Will the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
99% chance
Will the problem with Ceuta (an Spanish city) and Morocco resolves before 2027?
10% chance
Will the UK–Mauritius Chagos sovereignty agreement signed on 22 May 2025 be ratified by 31 Dec 2026?
12% chance
Will the UK and Argentina sign a sovereignty treaty over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
32% chance
Will a soccer final between Spain and Argentina be repeated before 2027?
10% chance
Will Spain enact its new asylum law by December 31, 2026?
19% chance
Will some members (1 or more) leave the EU (European Union) before 2027?
6% chance
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
2% chance