MANIFOLD
By what year will the first AI lab be nationalized in the US?
8
Ṁ120Ṁ276
2036
1%
2025
20%
2026
28%
2027
33%
2028
42%
2029
43%
2030
50%
2031
50%
2032
59%
2033
63%
2034
66%
2035
75%
Later or never

Resolves yes based on whether leading news networks refer to what happened as a nationalization or if that language is used by the government.

Also resolves yes if the US government creates a project which becomes the leading AI lab in the country (at the time when it becomes the leading AI lab).

Does not resolve yes if the relationship between the government and labs is only similar to that between the government and military contractors.

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