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Nuclear risk 2024: How many of the 8 linked questions will resolve Yes? [Unlinked Format]
15
Ṁ1.4kṀ7.6k
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO
>= 4
Resolved
NO
>= 6
Resolved
NO
>= 8
Resolved
NO
>= 3
Resolved
NO
>= 2
Resolved
NO
>= 1

This is a duplicate of this market, but as the unlinked format instead of linked:

/EvanDaniel/nuclear-risk-2024-how-many-of-the-8

How many of these markets will resolve Yes?

/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-b81a727f8cd4

/EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-6cba7b4a2e34

/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren

/EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-missile-be-successfu

/EvanDaniel/will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-bbd6762bfb35

/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-an-accidental-nuclear

/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta

/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the

This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to the linked markets. Inidivual options will resolve as they are able to if some of the underlying markets resolve early or late.

Market context
Meta-Forecasting
Predictions on Predictions
Nuclear Risk
Extreme Probabilities Project
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