Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2024? (Tests included)
5
36
Ṁ616Ṁ110
2025
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Countries currently known to have nuclear weapons are the United States, Russia, United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, North Korea, and Israel.
This includes wartime use, tests, peaceful use, etc. -- any detonation.
A nuclear detonation is a nuclear explosion in which the majority of the energy release comes from fission or fusion reactions rather than chemical reactions.
UTC time.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by end of 2024? (tests included)
31% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
22% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
22% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
21% chance
Which country will conduct a nuclear weapons test during 2024?
Which nation will conduct a full scale nuclear test in 2024?
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024?
12% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
24% chance
Will any country that has not previously detonated a nuclear weapon detonate one by the end of 2024?
10% chance