Will a nuclear missile be successfully intercepted in 2024?
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150Ṁ1915resolved Jan 1
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For real, against an adversary. Not a test.
Based on credible reporting. If there's a lack of confirmation of the actual nuclear warhead payload, I'll do my best. My presumption will be that any ICBM that got intercepted was probably carrying a nuke and therefore counts.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Eliza I think yes, I'll count that, provided we have evidence that it was in fact launched against a target, whether by accident or hacking or a simple case of changed minds.
Basically my presumption is that if the same country launches the missile and the interceptor, that sounds like a test, and I'd want to see some evidence that it wasn't. Whereas my presumption is that if (for example) the US shoots down a North Korean missile, that's not a test.