Will a nuclear missile be successfully intercepted in 2024?
Will a nuclear missile be successfully intercepted in 2024?
9
150Ṁ1915
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

For real, against an adversary. Not a test.

Based on credible reporting. If there's a lack of confirmation of the actual nuclear warhead payload, I'll do my best. My presumption will be that any ICBM that got intercepted was probably carrying a nuke and therefore counts.

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1y

If the missile was launched against an adversary but intercepted by the same entity that launched it, does that count. If such a thing is possible.

1y

@Eliza I think yes, I'll count that, provided we have evidence that it was in fact launched against a target, whether by accident or hacking or a simple case of changed minds.

Basically my presumption is that if the same country launches the missile and the interceptor, that sounds like a test, and I'd want to see some evidence that it wasn't. Whereas my presumption is that if (for example) the US shoots down a North Korean missile, that's not a test.

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