Will a member of United States senate die in 2026?
12
Ṁ1kṀ1.9k2027
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If he or she has been elected at any point in the 30 days prior to death, YES, as long as there was a scheduled assumption of office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
Will any incumbent U.S. Senator lose renomination in the 2026 US senate primaries?
73% chance
Will Mitch McConnell die in 2026?
22% chance
Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?
30% chance
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
85% chance
Who Will Lead The Senate after 2026 US Elections?
How many U.S. Senators will resign and leave office in 2026?
Will these U.S. Representatives retire in the 2026 election cycle?
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
16% chance
Will Bernie Sanders cease to be a US Senator before the end of 2026?
11% chance