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MANIFOLD
Closest Senate race in 2026?
14
Ṁ725Ṁ1.2k
Jan 3
15%
Texas
15%
Iowa
13%
Kansas
10%
Maine
8%
Michigan
8%
Ohio
7%
Alaska
6%
Nebraska
3%
South Carolina
3%
Minnesota
1.7%
Mississippi
1.6%
New Hampshire
1.5%
Florida

Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race/kxclosestsenate-27jan03

Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.

Resolves to the state that has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027

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