Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
9
100Ṁ2792027
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If they are elected at any point in the 30 days prior to death, or the day they die, it will resolve YES.
House & Senate
Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification of Eligibility Criteria:
All individuals elected to a congressional office are covered regardless of when the election occurred.
All individuals occupying the office at the time of death qualify.
This update is intended to include outcomes from special elections as well as standard elections, superseding the previously stated 30‐day constraint.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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