MANIFOLD
Will a congressperson switch parties in 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ156
Dec 31
34%
Will a Republican House Rep switch to caucusing with the dems?
18%
Will a Democratic House Rep switch to caucusing with the Republicans?
11%
Will a Democratic Senator switch to caucusing with the Republicans?
34%
Will a Republican Senator switch to caucusing with the democrats?

Must announce by end of 2026. Must be in office at time of announcement. Eg. Marjorie Taylor Greene becoming a Democrat wouldn’t count.

Switching to independent and cacusing with the same party doesn’t count. Must change who they caucus with.

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