By next Saturday, will we have confirmation that National Ignition Facility has achieved net energy gain in a fusion reaction?

24

22

Ṁ7K

Ṁ510

resolved Dec 13

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

ALL

A per https://www.ft.com/content/4b6f0fab-66ef-4e33-adec-cfc345589dc7?shareType=nongift

Close date updated to 2022-12-17 11:59 pm

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ5,000 of YES

https://www.llnl.gov/news/national-ignition-facility-achieves-fusion-ignition

bought Ṁ200 of YES

Another article saying the same thing: https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/12/politics/nuclear-fusion-energy-us-scientists-climate/index.html

bought Ṁ100 of YES

https://archive.ph/8waxG

preliminary results indicate they already have

bought Ṁ95 of YES

That black hole picture was probably fake but not clear why this wouldn’t be real

bought Ṁ40 of YES

Why is this so low? Do people believe the preliminary results are wrong or that there will be a delay in the announcement?

Related questions

Conditional on room temp superconductors by the end of the year, will we have commercial nuclear fusion by 2030?

Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2034?

When will fusion power become viable?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?

Will the USA acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?

Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?

Related questions

Conditional on room temp superconductors by the end of the year, will we have commercial nuclear fusion by 2030?

Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?

Will AGI, net positive nuclear fusion, and practical quantum computers be realized by the end of 2034?

Will the USA acquire a fusion reactor before 2031?

When will fusion power become viable?

Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?