Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025? | Manifold

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

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predicts NO

Is this about the energy that goes into the plasma or the total input energy?

predicts YES

@Daniel_MC Great clarifying question. The energy that goes into the plasma is what I am looking at. This is likely way simpler to calculate and communicate.

sold Ṁ40 of NO

@CharlesCarriere awesome thanks for clarifying

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