Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025? | Manifold

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

Plus

106

Ṁ22k

2026

19%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Can't resolve yet. Want to extend close date?

predicts NO

Is this about the energy that goes into the plasma or the total input energy?

predicts YES

@Daniel_MC Great clarifying question. The energy that goes into the plasma is what I am looking at. This is likely way simpler to calculate and communicate.

@CharlesCarriere awesome thanks for clarifying

Related questions

Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?

Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?

Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?

Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?

Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?

Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?

Related questions

Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?

Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?

Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?

Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?

Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?

Will fusion power be commercially available by 2035?

Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?

Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?

Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules