Will Superlinear host more than $300k worth of x-risk prizes by November?

#Effective Altruism

11

38

Ṁ5.4k

Ṁ620

resolved Nov 2

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Superlinear is an x-risk prize platform created by Nonlinear.

This market will resolve YES if you can claim and add to prizes on https://www.super-linear.org/ totaling in more than $300,000 of committed funding. (Prizes not hosted by Superlinear do not count)

Get Ṁ600 play money

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🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ233
2		Ṁ130
3		Ṁ98
4		Ṁ75
5		Ṁ45

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sold Ṁ2,330 of YES

I underestimated how much work it would take to get our biggest prize out there 😅

predicted NO

So I'm at about 60% but Drew is the one betting yes, which makes me just think he has stuff in the pipeline I don't know about.

predicted YES

@NathanpmYoung hahaha I thought I told you about this

bought Ṁ50 of YES

Banned for self-promotion ;)

Jk everyone should check Superlinear out!

predicted YES

@ManifoldMarkets Scared me there for a sec 😂

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Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

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Will any MTG tournament have a prize of at least $200,000 to the winner before 2030?

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Are bees sentient?

Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?

Related questions

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Will Conjecture Earn >$2M revenue?

Will Manifold host a charity highroller Poker match?

Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?

Will any MTG tournament have a prize of at least $200,000 to the winner before 2030?

In this new series of "The Wheel", will the combined winnings add up to over £300,000 ?

Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?

Will I (@TheBayesian) Reach the Top 20 All-Time Profit Leaderboard before July 2024?