If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?
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Ṁ19552028
79%
chance
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N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.
Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.
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