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MANIFOLD
On what dates will Keir Starmer’s successor be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
1
Ṁ150Ṁ30
2030
50%
2026-09-30 / 30th September 2026
50%
2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026
80%
2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027
50%
2028-12-31 / 31st December 2028
50%
2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029
41%
2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030

Each answer resolves YES if Keir Starmer’s successor is Prime Minister at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer AND has been so continuously since their appointment.

If they lose their job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.

Add more dates if you want more granularity.

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