When will the next UK General Election take place?

Question

This resolves YES for all options which are true of the polling day for the first UK General Election following 4th July 2024. Otherwise options resolve NO three weeks before their named date, at which point it is too late under current UK law to call an election.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Before 01/01/2029, followed by Before 01/01/2028 and Before 01/01/2027 are most likely. See the market for live updates (31 traders, as of Sep 22, 2026).