Will another lab post results testing superconductivity (or lack of superconductivity) in LK-99 within a week?
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Resolves YES if an experimental paper on LK-99 is posted to the arxiv from a separate research group by August 2.

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bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.16402

Synthesis of possible room temperature superconductor LK-99:Pb$_9$Cu(PO$_4$)$_6$O
The quest for room-temperature superconductors has been teasing scientists and physicists, since its inception in 1911 itself. Several assertions have already been made about room temperature superconductivity but were never verified or reproduced across the labs. The cuprates were the earliest high…
bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

also https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.16802

Semiconducting transport in Pb10-xCux(PO4)6O sintered from Pb2SO5 and Cu3P
The very recent claim on the discovery of ambient-pressure room-temperature superconductivity in modified lead-apatite has immediately excited sensational attention in the entire society, which is fabricated by sintering lanarkite (Pb2SO5) and copper(I) phosphide (Cu3P). To verify this exciting clai…

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This doesn't seem very well-defined - anyone can publish to ArXiv, so it would be trivially easy to impact this bet.

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