Will a room-temperature, ambient-pressure superconductor (LK-99, or other) be discovered before 2025?
39
120
750
2025
7%
chance

The flurry of research following the LK-99 preprints has led to important mechanistic and computational insights into superconductivity. This creates a more tractable combinatorial space for advanced machine-learning models to explore. Even if LK-99 itself doesn't quite reach the threshold, could the insights it has triggered lead quickly to the discovery of better candidates?

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