When will Starship flight 12 happen?
4
1kṀ1857
2027
December 2, 2025
3%
Before August 2025
49%
Before October 2025
78%
Before December 2025
83%
Before February 2026
85%
Before April 2026
86%
Before June 2026
87%
Before August 2026
87%
Before October 2026
91%
Before December 2026

Day of the 12th test flight of the Starship rocket. Let's try Manifold's date question format for this one.

Even if it explodes immediately after liftoff, that still counts for this question.

Info about past tests:

Flight 7 was 2025-01-16

Flight 8 was 2025-03-06

Flight 9 was 2025-05-27

Flight 10 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-10-happen

Flight 11 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-11-happen

I sometimes bet on my own questions.

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