When will Starship flight 12 happen?
13
1kṀ5202
2027
February 15, 2026
1%
Before August 2025
1%
Before October 2025
16%
Before December 2025
64%
Before February 2026
76%
Before April 2026
85%
Before June 2026
92%
Before August 2026
93%
Before October 2026
96%
Before December 2026

Day of the 12th test flight of the Starship rocket. Let's try Manifold's date question format for this one.

Even if it explodes immediately after liftoff, that still counts for this question.

Info about past tests:

Flight 7 was 2025-01-16

Flight 8 was 2025-03-06

Flight 9 was 2025-05-27

Flight 10 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-10-happen

Flight 11 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-11-happen

I sometimes bet on my own questions.

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