When will Starship flight 12 happen?
10
1kṀ3388
2027
February 12, 2026
1%
Before August 2025
9%
Before October 2025
36%
Before December 2025
48%
Before February 2026
81%
Before April 2026
80%
Before June 2026
90%
Before August 2026
91%
Before October 2026
93%
Before December 2026

Day of the 12th test flight of the Starship rocket. Let's try Manifold's date question format for this one.

Even if it explodes immediately after liftoff, that still counts for this question.

Info about past tests:

Flight 7 was 2025-01-16

Flight 8 was 2025-03-06

Flight 9 was 2025-05-27

Flight 10 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-10-happen

Flight 11 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-11-happen

I sometimes bet on my own questions.

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