When will Starship flight 12 happen?
21
1kṀ11k2027
February 20, 2026
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0.8%
Before October 2025
3%
Before December 2025
40%
Before February 2026
83%
Before April 2026
94%
Before June 2026
97%
Before August 2026
98.8%
Before October 2026
99%
Before December 2026
Day of the 12th test flight of the Starship rocket. Let's try Manifold's date question format for this one.
Even if it explodes immediately after liftoff, that still counts for this question.
Info about past tests:
Flight 7 was 2025-01-16
Flight 8 was 2025-03-06
Flight 9 was 2025-05-27
Flight 10 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-10-happen
Flight 11 - see https://manifold.markets/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-flight-11-happen
I sometimes bet on my own questions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@OlegEterevsky I agree that would be cool, but i can't find any way to add answers to this question. I imagine doing that is not currently supported for the 'Date Independent' question type.
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