When will Starship flight 12 happen?
34
Ṁ2kṀ23k2027
August 13, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
Before February 2026
42%
Before April 2026
93%
Before June 2026
95%
Before August 2026
97%
Before October 2026
98.7%
Before December 2026
Day of the 12th test flight of the Starship rocket. Let's try Manifold's date question format for this one.
Even if it explodes immediately after liftoff, that still counts for this question.
Info about past tests:
Flight 7 was 2025-01-16
Flight 8 was 2025-03-06
Flight 9 was 2025-05-27
Flight 10 was 2025-08-26
Flight 11 was 2025-10-13
I sometimes bet on my own questions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@OlegEterevsky I agree that would be cool, but i can't find any way to add answers to this question. I imagine doing that is not currently supported for the 'Date Independent' question type.
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When will Starship flight 12 happen?
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What will happen successfully during Starship flight 12?
When will Starship reach orbit?
Will Starship flight 12 happen before New Glenn flight 3?
35% chance
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82% chance
When will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
In which year will Starship first launch with 50 or more people on board?
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When will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?