The Financial Times published several predictions for 2023. One of them was the following:

Will the global temperature temporarily reach the 1.5C warming threshold?

"No, but it might as soon as 2024. The planet has already warmed by about 1.1C, comparing average temperatures in 2011-20 with the late 1800s, and by at least 1.2C in recent individual years. With emissions at record levels, scientists put 50:50 odds on temporarily hitting 1.5C in at least one year in 2022-26. With cooling La Nina weather patterns expected to last into early 2023, forecasters think the whole-year temperature will average 1.2C, but this could change in coming years. One year of 1.5C would not mean the Paris Agreement goal had been breached but would take the world much closer." Pilita Clark

Preferably resolves according to reporting from the Financial Times, though I reserve the right to resolve by my own judgement if necessary.