What will be the next infectious disease to be eradicated?
21
1kṀ1506
2030
80%
Guinea worm
20%
Polio

Smallpox and rinderpest have been eradicated. What infectious disease is next?

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Related market:

@Xelad102c also https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28219/date-of-disease-eradication/

@Xelad102c and now also my own numeric market.

Data source: https://ourworldindata.org/eradication-of-diseases

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Which disease will be eradicated next in humans?
Will the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declare Dracunculiasis (Guinea worm disease) as eradicated by 2030?
53% chance
Will all infectious diseases of all types be effectively eliminated from human civilization before 2040?
6% chance
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2031?
5% chance
Will HIV be eradicated in humans before 2030?
5% chance
Will another global-scale novel pathogen emerge before the end of 2025?
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In 2100, humanity will not be extinct but all human pathogens will be eradicated
14% chance
Will SARS-CoV-2 be eradicated by 2100?
53% chance
Novel human infectious disease identified by WHO before EOY2025?
53% chance
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