Techno-Optimism for 2030
8
46
150
2031
41%
chance

This market provides access to a portfolio of other markets concerning the development of technology by 2030. This market resolves as probability to the percentage of the markets below which resolve YES. Markets below that resolve to fraction themselves will be treated as a fraction of a YES resolution in the total. Markets below the resolve N/A will be treated as a 50% resolution.

/lukalot/will-neuralink-release-a-mass-marke

/error404/will-the-levelized-cost-of-electric

/MatthewBarnett/will-atomically-precise-manufacturi

/Forrest/will-ai-have-a-sudden-trillion-doll-83e962b65318

/LivInTheLookingGlass/will-att-offer-basic-internet-servi

/BoltonBailey/will-a-supersonic-plane-fly-commerc

/JamesGiammona/will-a-human-step-foot-on-mars-by-2

/BoltonBailey/quantum-telescopes-by-2030

/JamesBills/will-a-nuclear-fusion-reaction-be-m

/Sky/will-an-aigenerated-movie-be-nomina

Get Ṁ200 play money
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bought Ṁ20 of NO

Current average price as of April 16, 2023 is (15% + 82% + 30% + 80% + 70% + 42% + 11% + 29% + 43% + 33%)/10 = 43.5%.

predicts NO

oops, I meant "average percentage"