Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030? | Manifold

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Basic

18

Ṁ659

2030

25%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Neuralink Corporation is a neurotechnology company that develops implantable brain–computer interfaces(BCIs) founded by Elon Musk.

Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:00 am

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

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This closes Jan 16th this year, but can't really resolve until 2030? This market seems broken as designed.

predicts NO

@EdwardKmett Updating the close date, thanks

"mass market", i.e. for non-medical uses?

predicts NO

@ersatz Correct

Related questions

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?

Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?

Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?

Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?

What Percent of The BCI Market Will Neuralink have in 2040?

Related questions

Will Neuralink successfully enable a blind person to see again using its technology by 2030?

Will Neuralink be available for people without a disability in the US by 2035?

Will Neuralink successfully enable telepathy using its technology by 2030?

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

Will Neuralink successfully enable a paralyzed person to walk again using its technology by 2030?

When will be the first year that 10,000 people receive Neuralink brain implants?

Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?

Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?

Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?

What Percent of The BCI Market Will Neuralink have in 2040?