Will the levelized cost of electricity from utility-scale solar PV be less than $20/MWh by 2030?
10
170Ṁ368
2030
73%
chance

The EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2022 projectes the total system levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of new solar to be $36/MWh in 2027 and $29/MWh in 2040 (excluding tax credits)

https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf

The U.S. Department of Energy's Solar Energy Technologies Office has as announced a goal to reduce the benchmark levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) generated by utility-scale photovoltaics (UPV) down from $46/MWh in 2020 to $20/MWh by 2030

https://www.energy.gov/eere/solar/articles/2030-solar-cost-targets

Resolves "Yes" if the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook (or equivalent reputable source) reports the current total system LCOE of (utilitity-scale) Solar PV in the US to be less than $20/MWh [2021 dollars]

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