Will there be a "world domination" attempt that succeeds by 2030? | Manifold

Will there be a "world domination" attempt that succeeds by 2030?

4

130Ṁ220

2029

5%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?

will there be world peace by 2030

Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?

Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?

Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?

Will any of the following Western countries attempt to annex another country before 2030?

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?

Will The Great Reset happen by 2030?

Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?

Sort by:

I think this question's description warrants a definition of world domination, especially since the question has the term in quotation marks.

For example, would a world wide monopoly in a particular market constitute "world domination?" OR does domination require some element of subjugation?

@ShitakiIntaki That's a good point. I'm not sure how to rephrase. I have an idea for a clearer market now though, so I'll make that first.

@ShitakiIntaki This one has more straightforward resolution criteria: https://manifold.markets/cloudprism/which-of-the-following-movies-is-th?r=Y2xvdWRwcmlzbQ

Which of the following movies is the next 25 years most likely to resemble?

Suggest additional options to be added in the comments below. Resolves to the results of poll in 2049. I will not bet in this market. [Edit: One exception was to account for a typo...]

Does world mean earth or could this apply to any single planet?

@Luca3f84 Earth.

What does this mean?

@kcs I'm thinking about alternate AI scenarios than just "wiping out humanity".

People are also trading

Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?

-4% 1d80% chance

will there be world peace by 2030

Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?

Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?

Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?

Will any of the following Western countries attempt to annex another country before 2030?

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?

Will The Great Reset happen by 2030?

Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?

Related questions

Will there be a new revolutionary technology by 2030?

will there be world peace by 2030

Will the domino-toppling world record be broken before 2030?

Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?

Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050?

Will any of the following Western countries attempt to annex another country before 2030?

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

Will any of the following Western countries experience a successful coup by 2030?

Will The Great Reset happen by 2030?

Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules