MANIFOLD
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
9
Ṁ1.4kṀ6.9k
May 1
0.7%
150
0.7%
151
0.8%
152
0.9%
153
8%
154
4%
155
4%
156
4%
157
5%
158
6%
159
7%
160
7%
161
8%
162
45%
Other

https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci

Currently, the top score is GPT-5-Medium with 150.

In fact, the benchmark is normalized so that

claude-3-5-sonnet-20240620 has score 130

gpt-5-2025-08-07_medium has score 150

If this doesn't remain the case, this market will resolve N/A.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to the highest ECI for a model released before May 2026.

See also:

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bought Ṁ3 YES

These should be unlinked MC probably, no early-resolve-no is pretty bad

Do you mean 2026

@jim that's right, fixed

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