Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
4
1.1kṀ1534Dec 31
10%
150
3%
151
4%
152
5%
153
6%
154
7%
155
8%
156
8%
157
8%
158
8%
159
33%
https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci
Currently, the top score is GPT-5-Medium with 150.
In fact, the benchmark is normalized so that
claude-3-5-sonnet-20240620 has score 130
gpt-5-2025-08-07_medium has score 150
If this doesn't remain the case, this market will resolve N/A.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to the highest ECI for a model released before May 2026.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score
166.1
Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?
38% chance
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Will entropix/entropy-baed sampling hold up well in 2025?
80% chance
Best clockbench EOY 2025?
Fear and Greed Index on 1 Jan 2026?
52.1
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) in 2025?
What will be the best performance on EnigmaEval by December 31st 2025?
Will 1-month exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) of ethereum by higher at EOY2025 than EOY2024?
50% chance