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MANIFOLD
Which Organization will have the greatest score on ECI by EOY 2026?
5
Ṁ125Ṁ174
Dec 31
40%
OpenAI
29%
Anthropic
11%
Deepmind
8%
XAI
11%
Other

https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci

Resolves according to this benchmark.

In the unlikely event it is deprecated, it will resolve to the lab of the highest scoring model when it ends.

If 2 companies tie, it will resolve to 50/50 between those two companies. If 3 companies tie, it will resolve to 34/33/33 with the 34% going to the lab that has the next best model under the frontier.

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