
When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
39
250Ṁ16662029
3%
By July 4th, 2025
14%
It will not go below 38% before he leaves office.
22%
By September 1st, 2025
45%
By January 1st, 2026
48%
By November 5th, 2025
66%
By November 3rd, 2026
82%
By January 1st, 2029
Resolved
NOBy June 1st, 2025
Resolved
NOBy February 1st, 2025
Resolved
NOBefore he enters office
Resolved
NOBy March 1st, 2025
Resolved
NOBy April 1st, 2025
Trump's approval rating on the day he left office was 38.0%. This market will resolve YES to all options on or after the date that his approval rating dips below this number. If it does not go below this number before he leaves office (at any time, for any reason), all other options will resolve NO.
This will resolve based on the Silver Bulletin tracker. If it stops functioning or is otherwise deemed unreliable/invalid by the market creator, another website's approval rating tracker will be substituted. See the comments for more details.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump set a new record low approval rating this year? [Below 34.0% on Silver Bulletin]
10% chance
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
74% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
56% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
30% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
5% chance
Will Trump's net approval rating be under -5% on Sept 30th?
81% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
41% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
4% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
What will be President Donalds Trump approval rating on December 31st, 2025?