When will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Basic
3
Ṁ1552029
9%
Before he enters office
11%
By February 1st, 2025
15%
By March 1st, 2025
32%
By June 1st, 2025
50%
By September 1st, 2025
50%
By January 1st, 2026
64%
It will not go below 38% before he leaves office.
67%
By April 1st, 2025
85%
By January 1st, 2029
Trump's approval rating on the day he left office was 38.0%. This market will resolve YES to all options on or after the date that his approval rating dips below this number. If it does not go below this number before he leaves office (at any time, for any reason), all other options will resolve NO.
This will resolve based on the FiveThirtyEight tracker. If it stops functioning or is otherwise deemed unreliable/invalid by the market creator, another website's approval rating tracker will be substituted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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