This market predicts whether President Donald Trump's approval rating will drop below 40% at any point before November 3, 2026 (midterm). Approval ratings will be based on the Nate Silver polling average, which aggregates various national polls to provide a comprehensive measure of public opinion. The market will resolve to 'Yes' if the approval rating falls below 40% on any day before the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.