Will Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
18
100Ṁ4002029
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on 538 aggregate approval on January 20 2029 (Trump) vs January 20 2025 (Biden). A suitable replacement aggregator will be found if necessary.
Resolves N/A if either Trump isn’t president on the morning of January 20 2029.
If Trump refuses to leave office the question will still resolve based on his approval rating on January 20.
Tie resolves TRUE.
Biden’s approval rating on Jan 20 2025: 37%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump's approval rating fall below 40% in 2025?
82% chance
Will Trump's net approval rating be under -5% on Sept 30th?
84% chance
Will Trump's approval rating be above 40% at the end of his second term?
35% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
4% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
5% chance
Will Trump set a new record low approval rating this year? [Below 34.0% on Silver Bulletin]
8% chance
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
41% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be higher than Biden’s after:
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
65% chance
Will Trump’s approval rating be above 30 at the end of 2025?
96% chance