Will more than 1.5mm Gazans be internally displaced at the end of 2023?
35
366
650
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ148
2Ṁ89
3Ṁ74
4Ṁ72
5Ṁ56
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 of YES

https://www.unrwa.org/resources/reports/unrwa-situation-report-29-situation-gaza-strip-and-west-bank-including-east-Jerusalem

https://apnews.com/article/israel-hamas-war-live-updates-11-16-2023-c3bb512fccd8892a8d2018eba821cef1

UNRWA reporting on the 12th of November (or earlier): "almost 1.6 million have been displaced across the Gaza strip since 7 October"

Shouldn't this be resolved yes?

bought Ṁ100 of YES

@rarionalTrader This is about the state of the situation at the end of the year.

predicted YES

@BTE

Oh, my bad.

If those who were displaced are rehoused in refugee camps facilitated by UNRWA or someone else before then, do you still consider them internally displaced?

predicted YES

@rarionalTrader Why wouldn’t people in refugee camps be the central example of displaced people?

predicted YES

@rarionalTrader If the refugee camp is outside Gaza no, then they are displaced from Gaza and their status fundamentally changes. I have a market for that too.

predicted YES

@DanPowell I think something like 1.2 million Palestinians were already living in UNRWA refugee camps before this war, I'd assume many of them are among the 1.6 million who have been displaced

predicted YES

@rarionalTrader Before October 7, you mean?

predicted YES

Typo: “by at the end of…”

predicted YES

@ElmerFudd Can’t I have it both ways?!? LOL.

bought Ṁ40 of YES

@ElmerFudd It’s 1.5 m, not 1.5 mm.

predicted YES

@DanPowell “mm” is “thousand thousand” actually.

predicted YES

@BTE I thought K was the metric prefix and M was the Roman numeral for “thousand”.

predicted YES

@DanPowell Mil mil is thousand thousand in french

@BTE I can't get behind this. I see the finance and accounting miscreants use "MM" for million at my job (strangely, they don't use "M" for thousand nor "MMM" for billion, instead using "K" and "B" respectively). Rome has been dead for centuries; use "M" for million!