Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?
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28
Ṁ20462026
10%
chance
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Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.
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UN commission admits through gritted teeth that there's no famine in Gaza
sold Ṁ10 NO
Added "before market close" for clarity. This is not a forever market. Extended close through 2025 to be courteous to Yes holders though.
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