Resolves Yes if at any point before market close a major international body such as the United Nations or the World Food Program asserts that 5,000 or more Gazans have starved to death for reasons directly caused by the current phase of the Israel/Hamas conflict that escalated on October 7th, 2023.
For a bigger range:
1,000People are also trading
UN commission admits through gritted teeth that there's no famine in Gaza
Added "before market close" for clarity. This is not a forever market. Extended close through 2025 to be courteous to Yes holders though.
@Panfilo Will you extend it beyond 2025? I think the close date has caused some of us to trade against factual accuracy.
@Chumchulum Yes, since at this point we would probably have a big gap between closure and resolution if I didn't. Though I will reiterate that this market is about this particular hot chapter in the conflict, not the entire remaining history of Gaza.
@Panfilo If you feel particularly conservative you could only extend it to July 03rd, the 1000th day of the war.