Since the beginning of the Israeli siege will 500,000 or more Gazans die of any cause by the end of 2025?
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Gaza has a population of 1.7 million, so this would require 29% of the Gazan population to be killed. That's Pol Pot levels of genocide, even when you take out the natural rates and people who died since the beginning of the siege (~30,000).

@BTE what is the source for resolution?

@MickBransfield I would say Gaza health ministry but who knows how long that will even still be operational. Human Rights Watch is a good third party.

@BTE It's not likely to matter but how about sources that are not aligned with Palestine? It's not as if Reuters, AP, etc. will not report on the death toll if it reaches such levels.

@HarrisonNathan So far the IDF has not disputed the casualty totals out of the Gaza health ministry. At least once they have said they think that number is very close to their own. So not sure why?

@BTE An analysis by statistician Abraham Wyner shows that the figures reported by the Gaza Health Ministry are nearly certain to be systematically falsified. https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/how-gaza-health-ministry-fakes-casualty-numbers

@HarrisonNathan Has any Chinese statistician commented on the numbers? I would love some clearly non-western source or authority if possible.

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@BTE I don't know.