Resolution base on the numbers reported here: https://manifold.markets/stats
Resolves YES if over $X worth of Mana was sold on any day in Jan 2024
Resolves NO otherwise
Resolves N/A if Manifold stops reporting the statistics to the public
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ3,490 | |
| 2 | Ṁ194 | |
| 3 | Ṁ84 | |
| 4 | Ṁ67 | |
| 5 | Ṁ65 |
@AmmonLam This question + all linked down below in my list can be resolved to YES up to US$1,800, the Graph on this site currently sits at US$1,870 https://manifold.markets/stats
M 1300:
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1300-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1300-worth-of-ma-35ef1cc7e564
M 1400
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1400-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1400-worth-of-ma-17cf65ee3819
M1500
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1500-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1500-worth-of-ma-f31f8cf9f5f4
M1600
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1600-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1600-worth-of-ma-243404cbe1c4
M1700
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1700-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1700-worth-of-ma-86251dd668f3
M1800
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1800-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1800-worth-of-ma-b181e0316814
@Adam ...that said the numbers don't actually add up and have not any day of the last week, and I suspect I see both a glitch and someone testing for said glitch. taking a hedge position in NO-[1300-1500] 🤣
@Adam The Discord bot reports payments that are not ONLY payments to purchase Mana on Manifold. You should follow the Supabase link I posted earlier if you want to see the actual total for the day so far.
@Eliza thanks, probably spewed a few hundred mana freaking out about those $49 transactions. Any idea what those are, if not mana purchases?
@Adam Could be from Manifund, which allows paying a specific amount. Maybe they have other payment pages for various things.
@Eliza I never even noticed that there's no actual option to buy uneven amounts of mana 😂
@AmmonLam It looks like you might need to add additional answers, we're in danger of pushing right through $2000 at this point.
Ok guys, I don't know if you need a quick&easy abitrage list, I'll certainly need one:
M 1300:
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1300-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1300-worth-of-ma-35ef1cc7e564
M 1400
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1400-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1400-worth-of-ma-17cf65ee3819
M1500
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1500-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1500-worth-of-ma-f31f8cf9f5f4
M1600
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1600-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1600-worth-of-ma-243404cbe1c4
M1700
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1700-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1700-worth-of-ma-86251dd668f3
M1800
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1800-worth-of-ma
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1800-worth-of-ma-b181e0316814
M1900
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-there-be-over-1900-worth-of-ma
@AmmonLam I've done that, but it isn't quick&easy with two questions for each price. I prefer my list.
@Lion lol, ive been spooked already. i’m taking my ball home and making mana elsewhere haha
@Bayesian idk what you mean? Someone just bought USD1,500 worth of Mana (most likely @AnilJason) https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/AnilJason
Looks like two separate users:
@Lion oh, the market is about manifold selling mana, not people selling mana to manifold in exchange of a donation, mb
@Eliza https://manifold.markets/Technocrat
Bought 50,000 mana and has never made a trade, interesting. Definitely like to see where this goes.
