Active users
An active user is a user who has taken any action on the site.
18k yesterday; 15k avg last week
Active traders
An active trader is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question.
1113 yesterday; 945 avg last week
Retention
What fraction of active traders are still active after the given time period?
New user retention
What fraction of new users are still active after the given time period?
Daily activity
Identity Verifications
Daily identity verification attempts and their outcomes.
Activation rate
Out of all new users, how many placed at least one bet?
D1 average new user bets
On average for new users, how many bets did they place in the first 24 hours?
Ratio of Active Users
Total mana bet
Sum of bet amounts. (Divided by 100 to be more readable.)
Home feed conversion rate
Interactions/views
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Top markets yesterday
Markets with the most activity in the past 24 hours.
Most traders
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
412
Will Secret Service director Kimberly Cheatle resign or be fired before end of July?
293
YES
Is Joe Biden dead?
287
NO
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
243
YES
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
237
NO
Will Fable be reenabled for Americans before June 20?
233
22%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]
184
98%
Will the CrowdStrike outage be mostly fixed (~>75%) by the end of Friday?
169
YES
Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in his post-dropout address to the nation?
164
Which country will win Euro 2024?
140
Most views
Will Fable be reenabled for Americans before June 20?
711
22%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30? [Polymarket]
494
98%
🇮🇷IRN vs 🇳🇿NZL [World Cup '26]
360
🇪🇸ESP vs 🇨🇻CPV [World Cup '26]
357
🇧🇪BEL vs 🇪🇬EGY [World Cup '26]
339
Best Out-of-Context Quote at Manifest 2026
244
🇸🇦KSA vs 🇺🇾URY [World Cup '26]
238
US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?
221
23%
2026 FIFA World Cup prop bets
217
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]
193
17%