Active users
An active user is a user who has taken any action on the site.
12k yesterday; 12k avg last week
Active traders
An active trader is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question.
895 yesterday; 922 avg last week
Retention
What fraction of active traders are still active after the given time period?
New user retention
What fraction of new users are still active after the given time period?
Daily activity
Identity Verifications
Daily identity verification attempts and their outcomes.
Activation rate
Out of all new users, how many placed at least one bet?
D1 average new user bets
On average for new users, how many bets did they place in the first 24 hours?
Ratio of Active Users
Total mana bet
Sum of bet amounts. (Divided by 100 to be more readable.)
Home feed conversion rate
Interactions/views
,
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Top markets yesterday
Markets with the most activity in the past 24 hours.
Most traders
Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
412
Will Secret Service director Kimberly Cheatle resign or be fired before end of July?
293
YES
Is Joe Biden dead?
287
NO
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
243
YES
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
237
NO
Will the CrowdStrike outage be mostly fixed (~>75%) by the end of Friday?
169
YES
Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in his post-dropout address to the nation?
164
Which country will win Euro 2024?
140
Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
138
78%
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
133
NO
Most views
Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
504
78%
Who will get me the three papers fastest?
225
April 2026 AI model releases
206
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by April 30? [Polymarket]
181
19%
Will Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
160
7%
Will US average gas price reach $4.300 in April, 2026?
154
16%
Claude 4.7 released by…?
141
How many of the 3 papers I want to read will I get access to by EOY?
127
YES
Will the price of WTI Crude Oil experience a single-day rise of $7.00 or more before Friday, April 17?
121
14%
Iran vs US (props)
104