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Site activity

Active users

Users who took any action on the site.

Nov 1
26k
7-day avg
48k
+1% vs prior week
vs a year ago
+245%
was 14k
Active usersright axis
Active tradersleft axis

At a glance

Worth a look

2 metrics lack enough complete weeks to judge.

MetricNov 17-day avg13 wks
Users
26k48k+1%
Up 4 weeks running
738718+5%
Unusual jump
55Oct 3174+13%
22%22%−0.1 pts
0Nov 20.9+0%
Retention
75%68%−0.7 pts
58%60%+0.3 pts
51%51%+0.1 pts
5%Oct 319%+0.3 pts
Unusual jump
12%10%+2.5 pts
4%Oct 297%+1.3 pts
Engagement
55k35k−13%
6383−15%
318253+10%
Highest week since Jan 4 ’26
24k17k+23%
Conversion
40%Oct 3145%−1.8 pts
1.7Oct 313.3−3%
1.2%3%6/7 days

Top markets yesterday

Markets with the most activity in the past 24 hours.

Most traders

Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for VP? (Vice President)
412
Will Secret Service director Kimberly Cheatle resign or be fired before end of July?
293
YES
Is Joe Biden dead?
287
NO
Will Joe Biden drop out of the election by end of July 2024?
243
YES
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
237
NO
Will the CrowdStrike outage be mostly fixed (~>75%) by the end of Friday?
169
YES
Biden-isms Megamarket: Which exact words/phrases will Biden say in his post-dropout address to the nation?
164
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
152
20%
Which country will win Euro 2024?
140
Will Joe Biden win the first debate against Donald Trump?
133
NO

Most views

Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
464
20%
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
286
3%
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
276
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
228
26%
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
205
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
166
November 2026 AI model releases
159
Which party will win the 2026 Michigan Senate race?
156
Which party will win the 2026 Kansas Senate race?
152
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved in November 2026?
73
16%