A nuclear fusion reactor consistently achieves break-even energy output (Q = 1) over a 30-day period by...? | Manifold

A nuclear fusion reactor consistently achieves break-even energy output (Q = 1) over a 30-day period by...?

Plus

21

Ṁ1162

in 4 hours

80%

2050

78%

2045

74%

2040

64%

2035

58%

2030

10%

2025

All years after the year this happens will resolve to YES, e.g. if it happens in 2031, then 2035, 2040 etc will all resolve in YES.

Disclaimers:

This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Foresight Vision Weekend 2023

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What kind of break-even ?

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Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?

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