A nuclear fusion reactor consistently achieves break-even energy output (Q = 1) over a 30-day period by...?
21
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kNov 22
80%
2050
78%
2045
74%
2040
64%
2035
58%
2030
10%
2025
All years after the year this happens will resolve to YES, e.g. if it happens in 2031, then 2035, 2040 etc will all resolve in YES.
Disclaimers:
This question is part of Foresight’s 2023 Vision Weekends to help spark discussion amongst participants, so the phrasing and resolution criteria may be vaguer than I would normally like for this site. Apologies for that. We thought it would still be useful to make the market public to potentially inform other discussions.
If you would to add alternative answers, please do so in the comments!
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