Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
65
1kṀ56912034
28%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
17% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
25% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
32% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2039?
61% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
47% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
51% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
42% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2037?
54% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
58% chance
Will there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
72% chance
Sort by:
@DanielMoulthrop I'm interpreting this to mean commercial breakeven, as opposed to engineering or scientific breakeven. Is this a fair characterization?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
17% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
25% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
32% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2039?
61% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
47% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2036?
51% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2034?
42% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2037?
54% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
58% chance
Will there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
72% chance