Will Brandon Sanderson publish at least SIX new novels in 2023
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
The Sanderson option chain continues :D To count for this question, the novel must be at least 50000 words and published in a physical form which is available to the public, between Jan 1 and Dec 31, 2023. Note that 4 have been announced as of this market's creation.
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https://www.brandonsanderson.com/state-of-the-sanderson-2023/

"In this case, we’ve had five(!) new releases in one year."

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bought Ṁ64 of NO

https://old.reddit.com/r/Stormlight_Archive/comments/x7h8vo/stormlight_five_update_one/
> When will the book come out?  I’m looking at fall 2024.  I have tried to be very forthcoming about this one—warning people for a while that 2023 might be too optimistic.

bought Ṁ60 of YES
Do co-authored books count? Regardless, I think this is pretty likely. The 4 secret projects are going to happen, Defiant is going to happen. Stormlight 5 I feel pessimistic on, but I think Horneater will happen and he'll get it out by the end of the year to make up for the delay on SA5 if that happens. Decent odds that Horneater is >50000 words.
predicted NO
@NathanielLovin Good question. I'll count co-authored books with just 2 writers (sanderson collaborating with just one other). Beyond that it would just be a group work really. If he sumbits a short story to a collection of stories with various other authors, it will count if his work is at least 50000 words.
bought Ṁ50 of YES
Per my comment in the "5" market I think this is pretty likely. Not betting all the way to 90% in case Brandon decides to spare his beta readers.

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