Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
Basic
6
Ṁ1612027
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this based on my reading and critical reviews. Really, I think that it will be obvious, but I'll take input from the community.
I will not bet on this market.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
42% chance
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
39% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel focusing on AI in 2024?
3% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
53% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
58% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
22% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will an AI be able to write a passable novel before 2028?
85% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel (book) in 2024?
97% chance