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MANIFOLD
In Cambridge UK, after the city council elections in May 2026, how many seats will each party have?
9
Ṁ550Ṁ3.1k
resolved May 9
Resolved
YES
0 Reform UK
Resolved
YES
16 to 20 (inclusive) Labour
Resolved
YES
10 to 14 (inclusive) Green
Resolved
NO
2 independent
Resolved
NO
3 Green
Resolved
NO
25 Labour
Resolved
NO
10+ that are not Labour, Green, Lib Dem, Conservative, Reform UK, or independent candidates.
Resolved
NO
2 Green
Resolved
NO
35+ Labour
Resolved
NO
5 or fewer Labour
Resolved
NO
6 to 15 (inclusive) Labour
Resolved
NO
0 or 1 Green
Resolved
NO
15+ Green
Resolved
NO
6, 7, 8, or 9, that are not Labour, Green, Lib Dem, Conservative, Reform UK, or independent candidates.
Resolved
NO
30, 31, 32, 33, or 34 Labour
Resolved
NO
10+ independent candidates
Resolved
NO
21, 22, or 23 Labour
Resolved
NO
5 to 9 (inclusive) independent candidates.
Resolved
NO
4 or 5 Green
Resolved
NO
6 to 9 (inclusive) Green

There are 42 seats, 23 are Labour, 12 are Lib Dem, 5 Green, 1 Conservative, and 1 independent.

Only 14 seats are available to be contested.

Add your own non-overlapping answers too.

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Given that adding the numbers of each affiliation seems to fill up all the available seats, does this mean I can resolve to 0 independent?

@AlanTennant Yes, looking it up elsewhere and this does seem to be true.

@AlanTennant Cambridge counting is complete

@Dssc 17 labour, 12 green, etc… am I reading the right numbers? They add up to 42, which would seem correct.

@AlanTennant yeah, I think this is correct

Isn't it a crazy election when Green getting 0/1, 2 and 15+ are all at nearly 50%.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 5% order

@AlanTennant Are 3 green/2 green/2 independent/25 labor at least or exactly that amount? Also, there are only 14 seats up for election, 10 of which are currently labor, so I think 5 or fewer labour and 35+ labour are only possible if there is some mass exodus of the not up for election councillors into or out of the party.

@Dssc If it seems unlikely feel free to choose "no", and feel free to add your own (not overlapping with others) ranges, I have limited daily mana to add everything.

edit: But I added three more Labour options for you. Thank you for helping me update the description.