MANIFOLD
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
24
Ṁ110Ṁ765
2029
97%
Reform UK
76%
Greens
73%
SDLP
69%
SNP
62%
Plaid Cymru
50%
UUP
40%
Conservatives
36%
Lib Dem
27%
Sinn Fein
17%
DUP
2%
Labour

Resolves to yes if the party gains more seats. Resolves to no if the party looses or has the same amount of seats.

Uses the number of seats “as elected” as benchmark and not any party switching that may happen thereafter. Seats lost in runoff elections do not count.

Market context
Politics
UK Politics
UK
UK Conservative Party
UK General Election 2024
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If the 2029 election follows the pattern of the 2001 election, then the gains will be as follows: Liberal Democrats (most gains), Reform UK (second most gains), Greens (third most gains) with Labour losing the most seats.

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