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MANIFOLD
How many seats will the largest party win in the next UK general election?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.7k
2027
301 seats
expected
95%
Above 100
86%
Above 200
78%
Above 250
72%
Above 275
66%
Above 300
41%
Above 325
20%
Above 350
10%
Above 400
6%
Above 450
4%
Above 500

Resolve base on the number of seats won by the party which wins the most seats in the next UK general election, whichever party that may be. There are currently a total of 650 seats.

Recent elections for reference:

2024 - 411

2019 - 365

2017 - 317

2015 - 330

2010 - 306

2005 - 355 (of 646)

2001 - 412 (of 359)

1997 - 418 (of 359)

Market context
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