How many seats will centre to centre-left parties have in the UK House of Commons on January 1st 2030?
3
Ṁ300Ṁ1652030
316 seats
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
0 - 200
16%
200 - 249
18%
250 - 299
24%
300 - 349
11%
350 - 399
9%
400 - 449
6%
450 - 500
6%
500 - 650
Currently, Wikipedia lists the following parties as centre to centre left:
Labour
Liberal Democrats
Scottish National Party
Green Party
Plaid Cymru
SDLP
Alliance Party
[added 2026-05-04] Your Party
New parties that are considered to be centre to centre-left may be added to this list at my discretion; I will also evaluate independent candidates.
Sinn Féin is excluded from this list because of their abstentionism.
If this market was resolved at the time of creation, it would resolve between 504 and 507 (399 Labour + 72 Liberal Democrats + 9 Scottish National Party + 4 Green Party + 4 Plaid Cymru + 2 SDLP + 1 Alliance + 13-16 independents)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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