Will the FDP be in the Bavarian State Parliament at the end of 2023?
37
327
Ṁ11KṀ710
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if at least two members of the Bavarian State Parliament are members of the Free Democratic Party (FDP) on New Year’s Eve 2023, NO otherwise.
Note that an election is scheduled for October and a party needs at least 5% of the vote to get seats. You can see a current collection of polls here.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ188 | |
2 | Ṁ165 | |
3 | Ṁ111 | |
4 | Ṁ104 | |
5 | Ṁ89 |
Sort by:
misresolved @SirSalty
Proof: https://www.bayern.landtag.de/en/members/parliamentary-groups/
@kottsiek Whoopsie! Yes, just misclicked, this is unambiguously a NO. I’ll ask on the discord for a re-resolve
@marktweise This market was intended to just be about the FDP getting past the 5% threshold into parliament though, not about them being part of the government.
Related questions
Will the parties in germany reach the following numbers in the polls before July 2024?
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
39% chance
Which party will be in the government following the 2024 Saxony state election?
Which party will be in the government following the 2024 Thuringian state election?
Which party will be in the government following the 2024 Brandenburg state election?
Will the SPD enter the Saxony state parliament in the upcoming election?
73% chance
Will Germany have a one-party or two-party government before 2030?
52% chance
Will Friedrich Merz still be the leader of CDU at the end of 2024?
75% chance
Will the AfD still exist by the year 2030?
69% chance
Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
69% chance